2.6
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
The Jets sit at 25th with a -7.8 neutral-field rating, but that's a 3.5-point jump from last week and their +0.058 EPA per play over the last five suggests they're playing better than their 2-3 record implies. The market is already catching on, as their +0.32 vs-market mark shows they've been covering, yet a -7.8 rating means they'd still be underdogs of roughly a touchdown-plus against an average team, so I'm a cautious buy on the number rather than the team. The 2.6-point injury dock with Breece Hall, Adonai Mitchell, and Francisco Mauigoa all out is real, but the recent form and weak -1.9 schedule suggest this rating has room to keep climbing.
Unavailable this week(-2.6 pts of rating)
- Breece Hall · RB · Out-1.3
- Adonai Mitchell · WR · Out-0.7
- Francisco Mauigoa · LB · Out-0.3
- Will McDonald · DE · Questionable-0.2
- Kingsley Enagbare · DE · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #31 | 1-0 | -13.2 | -1.3 | -14.3 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #31 | 1-1 | -11.3 | -1.9 | -3.2 | +1.9 |
| 2026 | 3 | #31 | 1-2 | -11.4 | -1.9 | -3.1 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 4 | #30 | 1-3 | -11.3 | -3.5 | -4.0 | +0.1 |
| 2026 | 5 | #25 | 2-3 | -7.8 | -2.6 | +0.3 | +3.5 |