8.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
Washington sits dead last at 32 with a -15.806 neutral-field rating, and that number already bakes in an 8.5-point injury dock for Mariota, Diggs, and a questionable McLaurin, so the roster on the field is even thinner than the rating implies. The last-five profile is ugly on both sides: 23.0 points scored against 29.8 allowed, a -0.0568 EPA per play, and a -6.8 point differential, which is exactly what you'd expect from a 1-3 team. The market is giving them -5.5 versus their rating, meaning books are pricing Washington about five and a half points better than this model does, so I'm selling them hard and looking to fade any spread that asks them to stay within a touchdown.
Unavailable this week(-8.5 pts of rating)
- Marcus Mariota · QB · Out-4.7
- Stefon Diggs · WR · Out-2.0
- Terry McLaurin · WR · Questionable-0.5
- Jeremy McNichols · RB · Questionable-0.2
- Charles Omenihu · DE · Out-0.2
- Nicolas Cross · S · Out-0.2
- Percy Butler · S · Out-0.2
- Deatrich Wise · DE · Questionable-0.1
- K'Lavon Chaisson · LB · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
- Rachaad White · RB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Tyler Owens · S · Out-0.1
- Trenayvian Amos · CB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #25 | 0-1 | -6.0 | -0.4 | +0.3 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #30 | 0-2 | -11.2 | -1.9 | -8.3 | -5.2 |
| 2026 | 3 | #32 | 1-2 | -13.4 | -8.6 | -4.0 | -2.2 |
| 2026 | 4 | #32 | 1-3 | -16.2 | -8.9 | -5.2 | -2.8 |
| 2026 | 5 | #32 | 1-3-1 | -15.8 | -8.5 | -5.5 | +0.4 |