2.71

2.71

Earl's NBA power ranking · Week 25, 2025

#19
rank
-1.4
rating (points, neutral field)
43-39
record (2025)
-2.2
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Miami sits at 19th with a -1.429 neutral-field rating, meaning they'd be roughly a 1.5-point underdog to an average team, and that number has cratered 2.505 points in the past week. The -2.21 vs-market gap says the public has been overvaluing this team all season, so I'm selling Miami hard, especially with Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, and Norman Powell all inactive and a 2.71-point injury dock already baked in. This is a fade-or-pass roster right now, not a buy-low.

Unavailable this week(-2.7 pts of rating)

  • Davion Mitchell · G · Inactive-1.5
  • Pelle Larsson · G · Inactive-1.3
  • Norman Powell · G · Inactive-1.2
  • Tyler Herro · G · Inactive-0.5

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

5.7 pts-1.4 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#92-1+3.6-1.0+8.5—
20252#44-3+4.8-0.6+8.8+1.2
20253#57-4+5.7—+9.9+0.9
20254#88-6+4.0—+5.9-1.7
20255#912-6+3.6-2.6+3.6-0.4
20256#614-7+4.5-1.3+3.0+0.8
20257#1414-11+0.9-2.4-0.8-3.6
20258#1114-12+1.6-0.9-0.3+0.7
20259#1315-14-0.2-2.1-1.1-1.7
202510#1218-15+0.5-2.6-0.2+0.7
202511#1020-16+1.8-1.7+1.3+1.2
202512#1720-19-0.9-1.9-1.4-2.7
202513#1622-21-1.3-2.1-1.6-0.3
202514#1525-22-0.2-2.0-0.5+1.0
202515#1527-24-0.1-2.2-0.4+0.2
202516#1528-27-0.9-2.6-0.5-0.8
202517#1529-27+0.7-1.3+0.8+1.6
202518#1031-27+1.9-1.4+1.4+1.1
202519#1332-29+1.3-1.4+0.8-0.5
202520#1636-29+1.0-3.3+0.3-0.4
202521#1738-31+0.1-2.9-0.3-0.8
202522#1738-34-0.7-2.6-1.3-0.8
202523#1640-36+0.3-1.1-0.3+1.0
202524#1541-37+1.1—+0.3+0.8
202525#1943-39-1.4-2.7-2.2-2.5